tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:55 MSP → 10:38 JFK
    DL 2969 · Delta · 2h 43m · 87% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 02m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 JFK → 17:51 TPA
    DL 2093 · Delta · 3h 11m · 79% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 9h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 197 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 02m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 56mMSP 06:55 to TPA 17:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.