tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Rapid City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:16 DFW → 13:48 MSP
    DL 2972 · Delta · 2h 32m · 84% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 MSP → 15:48 RAP
    DL 3851 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 48m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Rapid City is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 32mDFW 11:16 to RAP 15:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.