tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Appleton via Minneapolis: arrives on time 62%

  1. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 29m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 MSP → 22:58 ATW
    DL 4920 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 13m · 67% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Appleton is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 224 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 29m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 20mATL 15:38 to ATW 22:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.