tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Minneapolis: arrives on time 81%

  1. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 43m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 MSP → 23:00 MSN
    DL 1599 · Delta · 1h 03m · 83% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 238 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 43m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 24mATL 15:38 to MSN 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.