tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Reno via Minneapolis: arrives on time 51%

  1. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 MSP → 19:49 RNO
    DL 2560 · Delta · 3h 39m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 11mATL 15:38 to RNO 19:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.