tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Sioux Falls via Minneapolis: arrives on time 58%

  1. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 MSP → 19:38 FSD
    DL 3578 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 08m · 70% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sioux Falls is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 00mATL 15:38 to FSD 19:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.