tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Milwaukee via Minneapolis: arrives on time 59%

  1. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:14 MSP → 19:37 MKE
    DL 4464 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 59mATL 15:38 to MKE 19:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.