tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 69%

  1. 14:59 DCA → 16:50 MSP
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 51m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MSP → 20:36 SAN
    DL 2145 · Delta · 3h 50m · 73% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 1 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 41mDCA 14:59 to SAN 20:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.