tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 73%

  1. 10:26 MSP → 13:48 DCA
    DL 2983 · Delta · 2h 23m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:20 DCA → 16:41 MSN
    DL 5645 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 15mMSP 10:26 to MSN 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.