tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:45 LGA → 10:31 ORD
    DL 2985 · Delta · 2h 46m · 80% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:58 AVL
    UA 5573 · United, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 13mLGA 08:45 to AVL 16:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.