tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Minneapolis: arrives on time 66%

  1. 06:35 RNO → 11:49 MSP
    DL 2987 · Delta · 3h 14m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:26 MSP → 15:05 ORD
    DL 1533 · Delta · 1h 39m · 71% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 30mRNO 06:35 to ORD 15:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.