tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 16:14 JAX → 17:32 ATL
    DL 2990 · Delta · 1h 17m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:42 ATL → 21:28 JFK
    DL 2398 · Delta · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 14mJAX 16:14 to JFK 21:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.