tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 18:22 JAX → 20:45 DTW
    DL 2994 · Delta · 2h 23m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 EWR
    DL 2609 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 07mJAX 18:22 to EWR 23:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.