tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:15 BNA → 08:31 ATL
    DL 3001 · Delta · 1h 16m · 88% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:03 ATL → 11:40 TPA
    F9 3782 · Frontier · 1h 37m · 72% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 25mBNA 06:15 to TPA 11:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.