tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:25 BHM → 09:27 DTW
    DL 3006 · Delta · 2h 02m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 12:46 MDW
    DL 4688 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 21m · 82% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 21mBHM 06:25 to MDW 12:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.