tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Detroit: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:25 BHM → 09:27 DTW
    DL 3006 · Delta · 2h 02m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 DTW → 13:06 BNA
    DL 1557 · Delta · 1h 41m · 89% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 41mBHM 06:25 to BNA 13:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.