tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:25 BHM → 09:27 DTW
    DL 3006 · Delta · 2h 02m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:15 DTW → 14:00 LGA
    DL 1669 · Delta · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 35mBHM 06:25 to LGA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.