tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:25 BHM → 09:27 DTW
    DL 3006 · Delta · 2h 02m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:30 DTW → 14:30 IAH
    DL 1864 · Delta · 3h 00m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 05mBHM 06:25 to IAH 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.