tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:25 BHM → 09:27 DTW
    DL 3006 · Delta · 2h 02m · 95% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:15 DTW → 10:50 ORD
    DL 3673 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip4h 25mBHM 06:25 to ORD 10:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.