tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 14:10 BHM → 16:18 ATL
    DL 3012 · Delta · 1h 08m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:22 ATL → 19:54 TPA
    DL 1457 · Delta · 1h 34m · 69% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 46mBHM 14:10 to TPA 19:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.