tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 57%

  1. 14:10 BHM → 16:18 ATL
    DL 3012 · Delta · 1h 08m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 ATL → 18:52 TPA
    DL 1594 · Delta · 1h 32m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip3h 42mBHM 14:10 to TPA 18:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.