tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Orlando via Atlanta: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:10 BHM → 16:18 ATL
    DL 3012 · Delta · 1h 08m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 57m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 ATL → 21:52 MCO
    DL 1735 · Delta · 1h 37m · 61% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 192 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 57m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 42mBHM 14:10 to MCO 21:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.