tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 62%

  1. 14:10 BHM → 16:18 ATL
    DL 3012 · Delta · 1h 08m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 ATL → 21:25 LGA
    DL 468 · Delta · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 15mBHM 14:10 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.