tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 74%

  1. 05:40 TYS → 06:44 ATL
    DL 3015 · Delta · 1h 02m · 94% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:26 ATL → 11:44 EWR
    UA 1705 · United · 2h 18m · 80% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 72 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 04mTYS 05:40 to EWR 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.