tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → Dulles via Atlanta: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:48 JAX → 16:05 ATL
    DL 3024 · Delta · 1h 17m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:52 ATL → 18:42 IAD
    DL 2902 · Delta · 1h 50m · 71% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip3h 54mJAX 14:48 to IAD 18:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.