tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Jacksonville → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:48 JAX → 16:05 ATL
    DL 3024 · Delta · 1h 17m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 ATL → 19:20 LGA
    DL 997 · Delta · 2h 20m · 68% on time, 4.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (4.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 32mJAX 14:48 to LGA 19:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.