tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 16:05 LIT → 18:47 ATL
    DL 3027 · Delta · 1h 42m · 84% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 ATL → 22:27 LGA
    DL 490 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Little Rock). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 22mLIT 16:05 to LGA 22:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.