tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Phoenix via New York: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:26 FLL → 18:45 JFK
    DL 305 · Delta · 3h 19m · 72% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 JFK → 23:43 PHX
    DL 784 · Delta · 5h 48m · 65% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 11h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip11h 17mFLL 15:26 to PHX 23:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.