tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Chicago via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:26 FLL → 18:45 JFK
    DL 305 · Delta · 3h 19m · 72% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:35 JFK → 21:48 ORD
    DL 5640 · Delta, flown by Republic · 3h 13m · 65% on time, 20.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Fort Lauderdale). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (20.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 22mFLL 15:26 to ORD 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.