tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:20 VPS → 11:34 ATL
    DL 3051 · Delta · 1h 15m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:30 ATL → 16:57 ORD
    UA 516 · United · 2h 27m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 37mVPS 09:20 to ORD 16:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.