tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Panama City Beach → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:45 ECP → 21:06 ATL
    DL 3053 · Delta · 1h 21m · 75% on time, 5.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 ATL → 23:44 DCA
    DL 537 · Delta · 1h 49m · 70% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Panama City Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (5.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip3h 59mECP 18:45 to DCA 23:44, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.