tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chattanooga → New York via Atlanta: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:06 CHA → 17:05 ATL
    DL 3057 · Delta · 59m · 70% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ATL → 20:27 LGA
    DL 434 · Delta · 2h 27m · 64% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 21mCHA 16:06 to LGA 20:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.