tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Miami via Atlanta: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:32 PNS → 22:00 ATL
    DL 3059 · Delta · 1h 26m · 76% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:49 ATL → 00:51 MIA +1 day
    DL 1589 · Delta · 2h 02m · 69% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip4h 19mPNS 19:32 to MIA 00:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.