tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 19:32 PNS → 22:00 ATL
    DL 3059 · Delta · 1h 26m · 76% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 ATL → 00:59 PHL +1 day
    DL 2642 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 28mPNS 19:32 to PHL 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.