tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → New York via Nashville: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:31 ATL → 08:43 BNA
    DL 3069 · Delta · 1h 12m · 93% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 BNA → 13:30 JFK
    DL 4919 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 30m · 75% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 59mATL 08:31 to JFK 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.