tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:31 ATL → 08:43 BNA
    DL 3069 · Delta · 1h 12m · 93% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 BNA → 12:20 RDU
    DL 5114 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 45m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip3h 49mATL 08:31 to RDU 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.