tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 08:31 ATL → 08:43 BNA
    DL 3069 · Delta · 1h 12m · 93% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 17m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 17m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 12mATL 08:31 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.