tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Houston via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 14:29 LGA → 16:34 DTW
    DL 308 · Delta · 2h 05m · 79% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 51m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 DTW → 22:24 IAH
    DL 1633 · Delta · 2h 59m · 81% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 186 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 51m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 55mLGA 14:29 to IAH 22:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.