tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:27 IAD → 10:17 ATL
    DL 3080 · Delta · 1h 48m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:21 ATL → 13:57 MSP
    DL 2901 · Delta · 2h 36m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 30mIAD 08:27 to MSP 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.