tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Norfolk via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:27 IAD → 10:17 ATL
    DL 3080 · Delta · 1h 48m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 ATL → 12:47 ORF
    DL 2925 · Delta · 1h 42m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip4h 25mIAD 08:27 to ORF 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.