tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 08:27 IAD → 10:17 ATL
    DL 3080 · Delta · 1h 48m · 83% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 ATL → 14:18 PHX
    DL 366 · Delta · 3h 48m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 51mIAD 08:27 to PHX 14:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.