tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Philadelphia via Atlanta: arrives on time 69%

  1. 18:38 DAY → 20:29 ATL
    DL 3088 · Delta · 1h 51m · 85% on time, 3.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:55 ATL → 00:59 PHL +1 day
    DL 2642 · Delta · 2h 05m · 78% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 22mDAY 18:38 to PHL 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.