tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 51%

  1. 13:28 VPS → 15:45 ATL
    DL 3092 · Delta · 1h 17m · 83% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:31 ATL → 18:09 MSP
    DL 2654 · Delta · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 41mVPS 13:28 to MSP 18:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.