tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 32%

  1. 15:26 AVL → 16:35 ATL
    DL 3099 · Delta · 1h 07m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 ATL → 18:42 ORD
    DL 2879 · Delta · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip4h 16mAVL 15:26 to ORD 18:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.