tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:28 BHM → 11:29 ATL
    DL 3100 · Delta · 1h 01m · 94% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:59 ATL → 15:27 TPA
    DL 1167 · Delta · 1h 28m · 71% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 59mBHM 09:28 to TPA 15:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.