tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:28 BHM → 11:29 ATL
    DL 3100 · Delta · 1h 01m · 94% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 ATL → 14:13 TPA
    DL 1525 · Delta · 1h 26m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip3h 44mBHM 09:28 to TPA 14:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.