tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:28 BHM → 11:29 ATL
    DL 3100 · Delta · 1h 01m · 94% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:09 ATL → 14:59 DCA
    DL 360 · Delta · 1h 50m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 31mBHM 09:28 to DCA 14:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.