tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Newark via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 12:50 SRQ → 14:34 ATL
    DL 3104 · Delta · 1h 44m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 4h 01m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 ATL → 20:54 EWR
    DL 2498 · Delta · 2h 20m · 56% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 196 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 01m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 05mSRQ 12:50 to EWR 20:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.