tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Atlanta: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:50 SRQ → 14:34 ATL
    DL 3104 · Delta · 1h 44m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 ATL → 18:42 ORD
    DL 2879 · Delta · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 52mSRQ 12:50 to ORD 18:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.