tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:50 SRQ → 14:34 ATL
    DL 3104 · Delta · 1h 44m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 ATL → 18:33 DCA
    DL 950 · Delta · 1h 53m · 65% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 43mSRQ 12:50 to DCA 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.